GROUP 1 racing continues at fabulous Flemington this week with the staging of the Group 1 $1.5 million AUSTRALIAN CUP and the G1 $1.25 million NEWMARKET HANDICAP. CrownBet Flemington Tips Saturday 10th March 2018
CrownBet Flemington Tips Saturday 10th March 2018
Courtesy of CrownBet
RACE 1. $100,000 BENCHMARK 90 HANDICAP. 1000-METRES.
SELECTIONS: 3 NASDEX; 4 Sunday Escape; 2 Demonstrate; 8 Concealer.
BEST ROUGHIE: 5 DANCE WITH FONTEIN.
SUGGESTED BET: NASDEX each-way.
NASDEX is back to his right trip, won four times this distance, won Caulfield 1100m, then 3rd Adams same venue, tired 1200m Flemington last time. Looks suited, go close. SUNDAY ESCAPE won here four runs back this trip beating Se Si Bon, latest led 2nd Demonstrate, MV. Chance. DEMONSTRATE brilliant ride to win MV last time. Drawn right spot, can win again. CONCEALER looks well placed this class, can win also.
RACE 2. $100,000 CLUB STAND HANDICAP. 1800-METRES.
SELECTIONS: 5 KING’S WILL DREAM; 7 Willi Willi; 6 Wheal Leisure; 3 Sin To Win.
BEST ROUGHIE: 1 HARRISON.
SUGGESTED BET: KING’S WILL DREAM to win.
KING’S WILL DREAM Irish import, unbeaten in Australia 3 from 3 now, latest impressive winner Flemington beating Notio. This harder again but he’s drawn to get the right run. WILLI WILLI smart galloper, winner here this trip two runs back, latest 7th Bedford, Caulfield. Better suited this trip, go well. WHEAL LEISURE showed a touch of class 3rd G3 Queen Elizabeth, break resumed with 6th of 7 Silent Sedition, race dominated from the front. Fitter, longer trip suits, go well.
RACE 3. $100,000 HONG KONG JOCKEY CLUB TROPHY. 1400-METRES.
SELECTIONS: 12 NOTIO; 6 Portman; 11 Simply Invincible; 3 King’s Command.
BEST ROUGHIE: 8 TIAMO GRACE.
SUGGESTED BET: NOTIO each-way.
NOTIO ran good 3rd Runson, Caulfield before last start pushed King’s Will Dream all the way when 2nd to that horse at Flemington. Drawn to be right in the finish again with minimum weight. PORTMAN smart horse, flies second-up, good run first-up when 4th Ken’s Dream, Flemington. Can win. SIMPLY INVINCIBLE promising horse, good win Geelong before 2nd Our Peaky Blinders, Pakenham then runaway winner in feature race Wangaratta. Chance.
RACE 4. GROUP 2 $200,000 SIRES PRODUCE STAKES. 1400-METRES.
SELECTIONS: 6 TIN HAT; 14 Nasaayim; 5 Seberate; 2 Sanctimonious.
BEST ROUGHIE: 1 RUN NAAN.
SUGGESTED BET: Box Trifecta: 1 – 2 – 5 – 6 – 14.
TIN HAT Godolphin runner, ran close 2nd Newcastle on debut before most impressive on pace winner at Ballarat. This lot harder but he’s drawn to get the right run. NASAAYIM good 2nd Flemington on debut before easy Ballarat win then brave win Caulfield after missing start and having issues. Go close. SEBERATE shaping like this trip will suit. Made up a lot of ground 4th Written By, Blue Diamond Prelude last time. Chance. Both SANCTIMONIOUS and RUN NAAN will appreciate this trip, respect in tough race.
RACE 5. GROUP 2 $200,000 KEWNEY STAKES. 1400-METRES.
SELECTIONS: 3 SUMMER SHAM; 1 Bella Martini; 7 Palazzo Vecchio; 12 Platinum Angel.
BEST ROUGHIE: 6 TRUE EXCELSIOR.
SUGGESTED BET: SUMMER SHAM each-way.
SUMMER SHAM keeps raising the bar, won strongly on debut then easy MV win before led and brave win G2 Angus Armanasco, Caulfield last time. Can win again. BELLA MARTINI NSW raider, won three on end including Gosford Guineas when odds-on fav, resumed with battling 6th Tulip, G3 Typhoon Tracy, MV. Fitter, gate 1, go well. PALAZZO VECCHIO ran on hard late when close 2nd Summer Sham G2 Armanasco, Caulfield last time. Go well.
RACE 6. GROUP 1 $1.25 MILLION NEWMARKET HANDICAP. 1200-METRES.
SELECTIONS: 1 REDKIRK WARRIOR; 15 Catchy; 11 Merchant Navy; 14 Booker.
BEST ROUGHIE: 9 KEN’S DREAM.
SUGGESTED BET: REDKIRK WARRIOR to win.
REDKIRK WARRIOR is a flier down the straight here, huge first-up win in G1 Lightning Stakes beating Redzel. Won this race last year first-up. Hard to beat again. CATCHY brilliant filly, Blue Diamond winner last year, resumed with rapidly closing 6th Russian Revolution, Caulfield, Oakleigh Plate. Fitter, this trip perfect, winner down the straight. MERCHANT NAVY G1 winner this track/trip, good first-up closing 4th G1 Oakleigh Plate, hard to beat with his light weight. BOOKER is flying, big run in Oakleigh Plate, suited, go close. KEN’S DREAM very good down the straight, well-weighted. Could surprise.
RACE 7. GROUP 3 $150,000 SCHWEPPERVESCENCE TROPHY. 1600-METRES.
SELECTIONS: 5 SPANISH REEF; 1 Shillelagh; 3 Samovare; 2 Montoya’s Secret.
BEST ROUGHIE: 7 MA JONES.
SUGGESTED BET: SPANISH REEF each-way.
SPANISH REEF was huge last time when drew wide, raced wide throughout and still came away for stunning win Flemington. This harder but is well-weighted here, can win. SHILELAGH G1 winner last Spring, resumed with 10th Hartnell G1 Orr then 7th Brave Smash, G1 Futurity, Caulfield. Back to mares grade, hard to beat. SAMOVARE resumed, heavily backed, ran well 2nd Silent Sedition, Caulfield. Fitter, go close.
RACE 8. GROUP 1 $1.5 MILLION AUSTRALIAN CUP. 2000-METRES.
SELECTIONS: 4 GAILO CHOP; 9 The Taj Mahal; 10 Homesman; 11 Single Gaze.
BEST ROUGHIE: 5 VENTURA STORM.
SUGGESTED BET: GAILO CHOP to win.
GAILO CHOP is flying, ran 5th to Winx in G1 Cox Plate before break, resumed with strong win G3 Carlyon Stakes then led throughout easy win G2 Peter Young, Caulfield. The one to beat. THE TAJ MAHAL import with hot record, hasn’t raced since runaway win in G2 Sandown Classic, Sandown, beating Almandin. First-up, hard to beat if ready. HOMESMAN another import, first Australian start did all the work and won narrowly but very brave beating Almandin, Caulfield. Fitter, respect. SINGLE GAZE marvellous mare in hot form, can win, as too can ALMANDIN with right luck from awkward draw.
RACE 9. LISTED $120,000 INCOGNITUS STAKES. 1100-METRES.
SELECTIONS: 1 PREZADO; 7 She’s So High; 3 Regimen; 6 Twilight Song.
BEST ROUGHIE: 9 STREETS OF AVALON.
SUGGESTED BET: Box Trifecta: 1 – 3 – 6 – 7 – 9.
PREZADO won over 1000m here three runs back then brave 2nd Nature Strip, Inglis Dash this track. Drew wide, tired late, 8th of 8 Super Cash G2 Rubiton. Back to right track/trip. Go close. SHE’S SO HIGH classy filly, resuming, ran 4th to Booker and Shoals G2 Tranquil Star, 4th G1 Thousand Guineas behind Aloisia. First-up here. REGIMEN Godolphin runner, won 3 of 6, very good Spring campaign in Sydney, break, resumed with 5th Tulip, G3 Typhoon Tracy, MV. Fitter, has a chance. TWILIGHT SONG is unbeaten 2 from 2, as too is VAINSTREAM.